Monday, January 5, 2015

My 2015 Baseball Hall of Fame Ballot

The 2015 Hall of Fame Ballot is up for reveal tomorrow. The ballot is one of the more stacked ballots that I can remember, and has been all the talk of baseball. It's getting to the point where every guy I remember being good when I was a kid is starting to come up, as first year guys on the ballot include Randy Johnson, Pedro Martinez and John Smoltz, along with several other really good players who will fall short of the hall but still had very good careers (Dye,Giles,Delgado,Garciaparra, Erstad, Gordon, Etc)

I'm 23, and the earliest I remember anything baseball related has to be around 1996. I remember Ozzie Smith playing and then eventually retiring. My father and I, with my cousins, and an uncle attended a game back in 1996...granted I was only 5 but I remember seeing Ozzie Smith. Why am I mentioning that? Because the past years or so I couldn't put a personal account to why I would vote for a player or not until recently (5+ years) most of the guys were from the 80's or early 90's that I didn't personally watch. I can look at their stats but I couldn't draw from personal experience.It was if they were like a fairy tale of sorts with these superstars who were bigger than life. Guys like Kirby Puckett, Carlton Fisk, Ryne Sandberg, Mike Schmidt, and others.  It's a little different  to actually remember watching the players play vs just reading about and looking at stats.



With that said here is the ballot this year, along with the year of which they are on the ballot
I am going to narrow down the list, this is how I would determine who I would vote for.

Several of the first year ballot guys had very good careers but I dont feel that they have a chance to make it past the 5%  to continue onto next years ballot.

I remember watching Jermaine Dye back in the early 2000's when he played for Kansas City and the A's, blasting home runs. He was a several time All Star and a Gold Glove winner, and had over 300 home Runs. but I don't think he had a high enough caliber Career for the Hall of Fame, the stats just aren't there, but he was very good.

According to Baseball Reference Carlos Delgado is ranked the 35th First Basemen of all time. That in itself is a huge stat to look at, He has over 450 Home Runs and was one of the best hitters back in the late 90's and early 2000's, however when we look at the couple of people he is surrounded by in the position at that rank we have Gil Hodges and Don Mattingly. Both people have made cases for and against for the hall. Don Mattingly is in his last year on the ballot, and most likely wont get in due to the numbers and his careers non-longevity. Good players but not great enough, I think that will be Delgado's fate.



Player          Year

†Rich Aurilia 1st
Jeff Bagwell 5th
Craig Biggio 3rd
Barry Bonds 3rd
†Aaron Boone 1st
†Tony Clark 1st
Roger Clemens 3rd
†Carlos Delgado 1st
†Jermaine Dye 1st
†Darin Erstad 1st
†Cliff Floyd 1st
†Nomar Garciaparra 1st
†Brian Giles 1st
†Tom Gordon 1st
†Eddie Guardado 1st
†Randy Johnson 1st
Jeff Kent         2nd
Edgar Martínez 6th
†Pedro Martínez 1st
Don Mattingly 15th
Fred McGriff 6th
Mark McGwire 9th
Mike Mussina 2nd
†Troy Percival 1st
Mike Piazza 3rd
Tim Raines 8th
Curt Schilling 3rd
†Jason Schmidt 1st
†Gary Sheffield 1st
Lee Smith 13th
†John Smoltz 1st
Sammy Sosa 3rd
Alan Trammell 14th
Larry Walker 5th


With this list we can narrow it down with 1st year players who wont make the 5% or will have a hard time making it to make it to next years ballot. Now each of these players have had a good career, not taking that away from them..however it is the Hall of Fame, not the Hall of the Very Good.

*Dye, Erstad, and Giles may get more than 5%, or at least a considerable amount of votes

Rich Aurillia
Aaron Boone
Tony clark
Jermaine Dye
Darin Erstad
Tom Gordon
Brian Giles
Eddie Guardado
Troy Percival
Jason Scmidt

This leaves us with this list

Jeff Bagwell 5th
Craig Biggio 3rd
Barry Bonds 3rd
Roger Clemens 3rd
†Carlos Delgado 1st
†Cliff Floyd 1st
†Nomar Garciaparra 1st
†Randy Johnson 1st
Jeff Kent         2nd
Edgar Martínez 6th
†Pedro Martínez 1st
Don Mattingly 15th
Fred McGriff 6th
Mark McGwire 9th
Mike Mussina 2nd
Mike Piazza 3rd
Tim Raines 8th
Curt Schilling 3rd
†Gary Sheffield 1st
Lee Smith 13th
†John Smoltz 1st
Sammy Sosa 3rd
Alan Trammell 14th
Larry Walker 5th

With this list I will remove players who will get the 5% but will fall really far from the hall, with less than 30% but more than 5%

*Dye, Erstad, Giles (may or may not get above 5%)
Carlos Delgado
Cliff FLoyd
Nomar Garciaparra
Jeff Kent
Don Mattingly
Mark Mcgwire
Mike Musinna
Tim Raines
Lee Smith
Sammy Sosa
Alan Trammell

























That leaves this list

Jeff Bagwell 5th
Craig Biggio 3rd
Barry Bonds 3rd
Roger Clemens 3rd
†Randy Johnson 1st
Jeff Kent         2nd
Edgar Martínez 6th
†Pedro Martínez 1st
Fred McGriff 6th
Mike Piazza 3rd
Curt Schilling 3rd
†Gary Sheffield 1st
†John Smoltz 1st
Larry Walker 5th

And now Finally take away the actual guilty Ped guys still left that wont make it because of their scandals, however some push is behind Bonds getting closer and closer each year....but Mcgwire is less and less. Sheffield will take a hit because of the PED's, but will have a considerable amount of votes

Barry Bonds
Roger Clemens
Gary Sheffield







And we are left with our list of guys who I would be voting for

Jeff Bagwell 5th
Craig Biggio 3rd
†Randy Johnson 1st
Edgar Martinez 6th
†Pedro Martinez 1st
Fred McGriff 6th
Mike Piazza 3rd
Curt Schilling 3rd
†John Smoltz 1st
Larry Walker 5th

Of these guys we know that Pedro Martinez and Randy Johnson will be first ballot Hall of Famers..and if they  aren't then its a damn shame. Johnson will have an almost unanimous election.

Then we have Biggio who missed it by 1 or 2 votes last year and Mike Piazza who will also get in this year because of the increasing numbers the past couple years.

Smoltz may be a first ballot Hall of Famer, depending on the voters

Bagwell will not make it, however I think Jack Morris's 351 votes will be divided allowing for more votes to them along with Raines and Trammel who i didn't have in my list



*There has been some discussion about bumping the votes from 10 to 12. with my extra hypothetical votes i would have voted for Alan Trammell and Jeff Kent

Trammell who had Cal Ripken numbers and Jeff Kent one of the best 2nd Basemen of all time.




*here are are the rest of the rookie cards, the guys I would have voted for.





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